Skip to market wire
← Back to Research← 返回研究
TSLAOptions ActivityOptions ActivitySource checked来源已核对August 21, 20262026/8/21by InvestLog AIInvestLog AI 整理

TSLA options: estimated premium turnover $1.5B; largest line TSLA260821C00360000 (Call) $134M (expires 2026-08-21)TSLA 期权异动:所扫描合约成交权利金估算约 $1.5B;最大合约 TSLA260821C00360000(看涨期权 Call)约 $134M(2026-08-21 到期)

On August 21, 2026, Tesla (TSLA) saw concentrated, high-scale options activity that day: estimated scanned contract premium turnover reached ~$1.517 billion, with total contract volume of 3,608,402, ranking first among 30 scanned symbols that day. The underlying closing price that day was $345.13, with nearest expiration on the same day (August 21, 2026). The largest active contract was the August 21 expiration call option with $360 strike, TSLA260821C00360000, with ~$134 million in premium turnover. The ATM straddle implied price move was 5.5%, with average near-the-money call IV at 169.0%, average put IV at 245.9%, and a put-call volatility skew of 76.8 percentage points.

Options Flow Snapshot

Detailed metrics include: 2,288,367 call contracts traded, 1,320,035 put contracts traded, for a call-put volume ratio of 1.73; total options premium turnover equaled ~15.0% of the underlying stock's daily dollar volume; 880 contracts were observed in the near-the-money window, with the ATM call strike having 0% IV (likely due to extremely low liquidity) and the ATM put strike having 135.7% IV.

Signal Read-Through

This event represents a market signal of concentrated trading paired with downside volatility skew: on one hand, the single-day options trading volume was significantly above typical levels, with a large call option betting on the underlying price rising above $360; on the other hand, put option implied volatility was notably higher than call option implied volatility, indicating market participants are pricing in greater downside risk.

Fundamental and Event Cross-Check

Cross-referencing public disclosures: Tesla’s Q2 2026 earnings report, released July 22, 2026, showed revenue of $28.236 billion, beating the consensus estimate of $26.423 billion, but EPS of $0.33 missed the $0.50 consensus estimate. On the same August 21, 2026 date, media reports covered Nevada’s approval of Tesla’s 5,000 fully autonomous vehicle fleet and news related to Tesla’s solar roof business. As of December 31, 2025, Tesla had 4,555 institutional holders, holding 49.6% of the float, with 530 new institutional positions added in Q2 2026. Additionally, CEO Elon Musk and CFO Vaibhav Taneja executed insider stock trades in June and May–June 2026, per Form 4 filings.

Follow-Up Markers

This signal only reflects August 21, 2026 options market pricing and trading activity, and does not directly prove future directional stock price movement. Key items to monitor include: 1) subsequent position changes and exercise status of the large $360 strike call option; 2) whether Tesla’s subsequent stock price volatility matches the 5.5% implied move; 3) latest business updates from official SEC filings or company public disclosures.

2026年8月21日,特斯拉(TSLA)当日期权市场出现高成交规模的集中活动:所扫描合约权利金成交额估算约15.17亿美元,对应合约总成交量3,608,402张,为当日扫描的30只标的中排名第一的期权事件。当日标的股价为345.13美元,最近到期日为当日(2026年8月21日),最大单笔活跃合约为行权价360美元的当日到期看涨期权TSLA260821C00360000,权利金成交额约1.34亿美元。平值跨式期权隐含价格波动幅度为5.5%,看涨期权平均隐含波动率169.0%,看跌期权平均隐含波动率245.9%,看跌-看涨波动率偏斜达76.8个百分点。

期权成交结构

详细数据包括:看涨期权成交量2,288,367张,看跌期权成交量1,320,035张,看涨看跌成交量比率为1.73;期权权利金成交额约为当日标的股票成交额的15.0%;近价期权窗口内共观察到880张合约,其中平值看涨期权隐含波动率为0%(或因流动性极低),平值看跌期权隐含波动率达135.7%。

信号含义

本次事件属于集中成交叠加下行波动率偏斜的市场信号:一方面单日期权成交规模显著高于常规水平,大额看涨期权押注标的价格涨至360美元以上;另一方面看跌期权隐含波动率显著高于看涨期权,显示市场参与者对下行风险的定价更高。

基本面与事件交叉验证

结合已公开信息验证:特斯拉2026年7月22日发布的二季度财报显示营收达282.36亿美元,超出市场预期的264.23亿美元,但每股收益0.33美元未达预期的0.5美元;当日同步有媒体报道内华达州批准特斯拉5000台全自动驾驶车队落地,以及太阳能屋顶业务相关行业新闻;截至2025年12月31日,特斯拉共有4555家机构持仓,占浮筹比例49.6%,二季度有530家新增机构持仓。此外,2026年6月特斯拉CEO马斯克及首席财务官瓦伊巴夫·坦亚均有场内股票交易记录。

后续关注

本次信号仅反映当日期权市场的定价与成交行为,无法直接证明未来股价的具体走向。需关注以下内容:1)该大额看涨期权的后续持仓变化与行权情况;2)特斯拉股价后续波动是否匹配5.5%的隐含波动幅度;3)近期SEC filings或公司公开披露的最新业务进展。

This analysis was generated by InvestLog AI based on SEC filings, Form 4 insider transactions, Form 144 planned-sale notices, 13F institutional holdings, analyst ratings, and market data. It is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.这篇研究由 InvestLog AI 基于 SEC 披露、Form 4 内部人交易、Form 144 计划减持、13F 机构持仓、分析师评级和市场数据生成。内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。